Capital what they started with and everything moved since
Starting capital
$12,236
equity on 16 Feb 2025, before that day’s flow
Cash injected
$56.87M
every deposit since
Cash withdrawn
$54.14M
net moved out
Net injected
+$2.73M
deposits − withdrawals
Total ever invested
$56.89M
starting capital + deposits
Profit over window
+$23.44M
16 Feb 2025 → 09 Oct 2026
Return on invested
+41.2%
profit ÷ every dollar put in
Peak equity
$39.67M
now $26.18M
Equity fell $13.49M from its peak on
08 Sep 2026 — was that trading or cashing out?
Both · 57% of the fall is trading, 43% is money taken out
- Trading P&L since the peak
- −$7.71M
- Net flow since the peak
- −$5.78M
- deposits / withdrawals
- $0 / $5.78M
- Equity change
- −$13.49M
Exact by construction: the exchange’s own accounting makes every change in account value either P&L or flow (Δequity = ΔP&L + net flow), and the two above reconcile to $0. An account can shed most of its equity while trading
profitably, and a rising one can be hiding losses behind deposits.
Net flow is Lighter’s own accounting of money in and out of the account (its /pnl series), day by day since the account opened.
601 equity points on file.
Risk : reward and frequency closed round trips only
Risk : reward
1 : 0.31
risks $132,226 on average to make $40,459
Win rate
79.6%
43 of 54 closed trades
Expectancy
+$5,283
per trade · 0.04R
Profit factor
1.20
gross $1.74M / $1.45M
Best trade
+$172,036
worst −$816,839
Trades / active month
24.0
3 active months of 36
Median gap
0.2d
longest quiet stretch 231d
Win / loss split
43 / 11
Read risk : reward as "risks 1 to make N" — average loss against average win.
On its own it says nothing: 1 : 5 at a 10% hit rate loses money. Read it with the
win rate beside it, or read expectancy, which already combines the two.
PnL and drawdown mark-to-market P&L, account equity, and the underwater curve
Net P&L
+$23.44M
peak $34.02M · low −$15.03M
Capital injected
$56.87M
withdrew $54.14M · net +$2.73M
Peak equity
$39.67M
now $26.18M
Profit on capital
+41.2%
on $56.89M ever put in
Max drawdown
−$19.02M
peak-to-trough · Mar 2026
… of peak equity
−47.9%
against $39.67M, the largest the account was ever
seen to hold
… of capital committed
−33.4%
against $56.89M
ever put in
Longest underwater
292d
below a previous peak
Average leverage
0.13×
median 0.05× · peak 0.89× · 72 trades
Sampling
1.0d
601 points · 16 Feb 2025 → 09 Oct 2026
The P&L line is mark-to-market — it comes from the exchange’s own
pnlHistory and already carries open-position profit, not just closed trades. What it is not is
continuous:
portfolio returns about a hundred points whatever the account’s age,
so this wallet is sampled every 1.0 days and any drawdown that opened and
closed between two samples is invisible. Every drawdown figure above is a floor, not the true
worst. Continuous intraday drawdown only starts accumulating from the position tracker, which
has been running since 12 Sep. The two percentages divide the same dollar loss by different things:
There is no single right denominator, so both are named rather than one being picked:
the largest the account was ever seen to hold, and every dollar ever committed to it. Either
can pass 100% on a leveraged account — this wallet gave back
$19.02M against a peak P&L of $34.02M. Dividing by peak
P&L is deliberately not shown as a headline: on a wallet that was barely profitable before
losing, it produces numbers in the thousands of percent. A drawdown measured on raw account value is
deliberately not shown at all: this wallet withdrew
$54.14M, so its account value fell
−100.3% from peak — a figure that reads like a blow-up and is
nothing of the kind. Every drawdown above is measured on P&L, which withdrawals cannot
move.Current trades open perp positions and spot holdings, live
Open perp positions · 18
· account 4.89×
| Coin | Side | Size | 3D ago | Value | Unreal. | Lev | Liq px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | LONG | 8,005.6106 | — | $19.83M | −$254,018 | 50.0× | 1,743.08 |
| HYPE | LONG | 51,800.0000 | — | $4.37M | −$322,942 | 10.0× | — |
| XAU | LONG | 998.6118 | — | $4.17M | −$286,012 | 25.0× | — |
| MSTR | SHORT | -10,768.5618 | — | $1.64M | −$602,501 | 10.0× | 660.90 |
| XPL | LONG | 13,206,973.9000 | — | $1.11M | −$222,802 | 3.0× | — |
| LIT | LONG | 292,702.0400 | — | $1.08M | −$25,289 | 5.0× | — |
| ANTHROPIC | LONG | 477.8771 | — | $1.01M | −$13,237 | 1.0× | 1.18 |
| META | LONG | 1,355.6235 | — | $977,784 | −$34,785 | 15.0× | — |
| SPCX | SHORT | -5,858.3345 | — | $969,144 | +$30,873 | 5.0× | 1,127.89 |
| SKHYNIXUSD | LONG | 567.8790 | — | $698,910 | −$83,117 | 10.0× | — |
| GRASS | LONG | 920,083.6000 | — | $569,771 | +$138,473 | 5.0× | — |
| ZEC | LONG | 437.3300 | — | $524,348 | +$17,980 | 5.0× | — |
| AMD | LONG | 794.2475 | — | $496,436 | +$9,396 | 10.0× | — |
| INTC | LONG | 4,421.3370 | — | $477,469 | −$30,742 | 10.0× | — |
| ETHFI | LONG | 548,964.0000 | — | $375,524 | +$142,840 | 5.0× | — |
| WLD | LONG | 658,967.6000 | — | $319,178 | −$8,231 | 10.0× | — |
| PRL | SHORT | -38,063.3300 | — | $50,232 | −$6,676 | 3.0× | 128.47 |
| STABLECOINX | LONG | 685.0500 | — | $8,648 | −$1,149 | 5.0× | 7.54 |
Spot holdings · 0
| Token | Qty | Value | Cost | Unreal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no spot balance stored | ||||
Recent trades last 5 closed round trips
| Coin | Side | Entry | Exit | Hold | Notional | Lev | Fills | Fees | Realised P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUMP | Long | 08 Oct 2026, 17:41 | 08 Oct 2026, 18:40 | 60m | $968,564 | 0.03× | 805 | $96 | +$22,990 |
| ZRO | Short | 03 Oct 2026, 14:48 | 08 Oct 2026, 17:07 | 5d 2h | $458,589 | 0.02× | 3087 | $45 | +$13,880 |
| ZEC | Long | 03 Oct 2026, 14:41 | 08 Oct 2026, 01:11 | 4d 10h | $3.64M | 0.13× | 2985 | $359 | +$77,167 |
| ETH | Long | 07 Oct 2026, 17:17 | 08 Oct 2026, 01:11 | 7h 54m | $12.88M | 0.46× | 3373 | $1,287 | +$54,889 |
| LIT | Long | 06 Oct 2026, 17:26 | 06 Oct 2026, 20:13 | 2h 46m | $1.11M | 0.04× | 6108 | $140 | +$25,317 |
Rebuilt from Lighter’s public explorer trade log with average-cost P/L; before fees and funding. Trades read so far go back to 15 Jan 2026. A position already open then is priced from Lighter’s own average entry while it stays open; 12 that closed since cannot be priced and are left out. 18 still open.
History by coin · trades read so far, back to 15 Jan 2026 · 35 coins
| Coin | Trips | Win rate | Realised | Taken from open | Open now | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 8 | 62% | −$802,809 | — | −$254,018 | −$1.06M |
| MSTR | — | — | — | — | −$602,501 | −$602,501 |
| HYPE | 2 | 50% | −$69,398 | — | −$322,942 | −$392,340 |
| PUMP | 4 | 100% | +$384,407 | — | — | +$384,407 |
| XAU | — | — | — | — | −$286,012 | −$286,012 |
| ZEC | 5 | 80% | +$246,585 | — | +$17,980 | +$264,565 |
| ETHFI | — | — | — | +$108,404 | +$142,840 | +$251,244 |
| LIT | 4 | 100% | +$243,866 | — | −$25,289 | +$218,577 |
| GRASS | — | — | — | +$22,444 | +$138,473 | +$160,917 |
| XPL | 1 | 100% | +$70,184 | — | −$222,802 | −$152,618 |
| MEGA | 1 | 0% | −$106,035 | — | — | −$106,035 |
| SKHYNIXUSD | — | — | — | — | −$83,117 | −$83,117 |
| USELESS | 2 | 100% | +$48,968 | — | — | +$48,968 |
| PONS | 1 | 100% | +$48,692 | — | — | +$48,692 |
| BTC | 14 | 71% | +$44,339 | — | — | +$44,339 |
| VVV | 1 | 100% | +$44,242 | — | — | +$44,242 |
| AI | 3 | 100% | +$41,509 | — | — | +$41,509 |
| XRP | 1 | 100% | +$34,806 | — | — | +$34,806 |
| SPCX | — | — | — | — | +$30,873 | +$30,873 |
| NEAR | 1 | 100% | +$27,214 | — | — | +$27,214 |
| INTC | — | — | — | +$57,331 | −$30,742 | +$26,590 |
| AMD | — | — | — | +$12,892 | +$9,396 | +$22,288 |
| META | — | — | — | +$14,201 | −$34,785 | −$20,584 |
| ZRO | 1 | 100% | +$13,880 | — | — | +$13,880 |
| ANTHROPIC | — | — | — | +$112 | −$13,237 | −$13,125 |
| RAY | 1 | 100% | +$13,095 | — | — | +$13,095 |
| PRL | 1 | 100% | +$0 | −$2,236 | −$6,676 | −$8,912 |
| WLD | — | — | — | — | −$8,231 | −$8,231 |
| WTI | 1 | 100% | +$5,588 | — | — | +$5,588 |
| ANSEM | 1 | 0% | −$5,348 | — | — | −$5,348 |
| HOOD | 1 | 100% | +$1,475 | — | — | +$1,475 |
| STABLECOINX | — | — | — | — | −$1,149 | −$1,149 |
| CASHCAT | — | — | — | — | — | $0 |
| UNITREE | — | — | — | — | — | $0 |
| DRV | — | — | — | — | — | $0 |
| Coins in these trades | 54 | 80% | +$285,262 | +$213,149 | −$1.55M | −$1.05M |
| Everything else | funding, fees and trades before 15 Jan 2026, and the 12 positions already open then that closed since — Lighter’s own trading P/L less the coins above | +$7.28M | ||||
| Trading P/L | Lighter’s own figure for the account, since 2025-02-16 | +$6.23M | ||||
Rebuilt from Lighter’s public explorer trade log, every fill this account made as maker or taker, with average-cost P/L — Lighter’s own rule. Funding and fees are not split by coin in public data, so they sit in “Everything else”, which makes the table add up to Lighter’s own trading P/L. The trade log is still being read back through this account’s history, a few hundred pages an hour; older trades fill in as it goes.